Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
GFC
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
RIO
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
VST
1 - 1
EST
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
OLH
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |