Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BMA
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
VIT
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 4
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
VST
2 - 3
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 3
BEL
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
4 - 1
VSC
72%
19%
8%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEL
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
LEX
66%
23%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |