Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/32
Global 4-3
Vitória Guimarães vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
BEL
3 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
LUS
0 - 9
VIT
27%
21%
52%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
VIT
11 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 0
NAN
35%
23%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 4
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 0
ASN
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
SED
1 - 1
ANG
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1970 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
25%
21%
55%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |