Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 2
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
PAÇ
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |