Vitória da Conquista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
JEC
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
5 - 0
AEC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GAL
0 - 3
VIT
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
COT
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
10%
20%
69%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 1
SDJ
81%
15%
5%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
BAH
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 0
BAH
10%
17%
74%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |