Vitória da Conquista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
4 - 4
SDJ
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
BAH
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
78%
16%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |