Vitória da Conquista vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 4
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAH
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
FEI
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |