Vitesse vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
55%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
4 - 1
RKC
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |