Vitesse vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GRO
4 - 0
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SCH
4 - 1
VIT
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AND
5 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 2
S04
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 4
VIT
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |