Vitesse Sub 23 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HHC
0 - 3
VIT
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AFC
4 - 1
VIT
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
DET
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
KAT
0 - 0
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 2
LIE
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
KON
1 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |