Cup Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Vitebsk vs Neman Grodno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
GOM
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
5 - 1
FKA
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
LUK
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
NAF
29%
24%
46%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DNP
0 - 0
VIT
27%
23%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Neman Grodno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 0
FKS
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 0
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 3
NEM
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 3
NEM
29%
24%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
NEM
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |