Vital'O vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vital'O
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ANM
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MYB
1 - 2
VIT
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
TIN
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DYN
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
INT
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 0
NGO
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NGO
2 - 1
TEL
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MSU
1 - 2
NGO
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 2
RUK
43%
29%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |