Vista Hermosa vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vista Hermosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
VIS
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAS
3 - 1
VIS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 0
ALI
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIS
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 1
MET
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
FIR
6 - 3
ONC
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FIR
1 - 0
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
MET
4 - 2
FIR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 2
FIR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
FIR
1 - 3
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |