Vis Simm-Bau vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
7º
32
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 67 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 45 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
46.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Simm-Bau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRD
0 - 2
VSB
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VSB
2 - 3
BUD
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
JED
2 - 2
VSB
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GRD
1 - 3
VSB
51%
22%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GRD
5 - 3
VSB
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZVI
3 - 3
TOS
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ZVI
1 - 1
TMS
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 3
ZVI
35%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ZVI
3 - 0
RAD
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ZVI
2 - 1
RAD
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |