AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COS
0 - 3
VIR
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
SGI
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 1
VIR
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
FAE
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
5 - 1
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 5
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |