Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
VIR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
DOM
67%
19%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
FIO
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
4 - 1
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
5 - 1
FAE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |