AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
VIR
5 - 0
TPE
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAI
0 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
FOL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
FIO
3 - 2
COS
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 1
COS
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |