Virtus vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 3
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 5
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
15%
22%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |