Virtus Pavullese vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 2
RIC
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PIS
3 - 1
VIR
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
MAS
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
BAG
46%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 4
ASL
16%
23%
61%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 2
VIR
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
BAG
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASL
2 - 4
VIR
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
5 - 1
ROS
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIR
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |