Virtus Francavilla vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 0
FRA
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
3 - 3
PAG
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
FIA
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
PIC
0 - 1
RPO
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
USF
3 - 2
PIC
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PIC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIC
70%
19%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PIC
1 - 0
JUS
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |