Virtus Entella vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACD
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 0
REG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ACD
30%
29%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 0
FCS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACL
31%
26%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
COM
26%
26%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VNZ
3 - 0
PRO
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIC
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |