Virtus Entella vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 2
TRA
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ABN
3 - 1
ACD
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
4 - 1
TRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 3
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
REG
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 0
CUN
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
REG
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
ACL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |