Virtus Entella vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 3
ACD
35%
28%
38%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 0
VIN
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 1
ACD
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRE
19%
26%
56%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
MAN
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 2
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |