Virtus Bolzano vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 0
CAL
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 0
VIR
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
MZN
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
MZN
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |