Virovitica vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
8º
51
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
VIR
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 0
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
2 - 0
VIR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 2
NKS
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
NKV
20%
21%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
6 - 0
POD
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 1
POD
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |