Virginia Water vs Athletic Newham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
70.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia Water
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIR
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Newham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
RED
2 - 2
ANF
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ANF
1 - 0
CLA
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |