Virginia vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
VIC
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
SYO
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PIP
5 - 0
VIC
50%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
VIC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
DBD
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NCA
0 - 3
DBD
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PIP
4 - 0
NCA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MTH
1 - 0
NCA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
WKD
1 - 2
NCA
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 1
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |