Villenave vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NAR
6 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
LES
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUC
1 - 2
VIL
25%
23%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 3
MON
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
TOU
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
TOU
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |