Villena vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
6 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
BEN
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
NUD
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 2
RED
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RED
2 - 0
NUD
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NUC
0 - 2
RED
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RED
1 - 2
IND
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
RED
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |