Villegas vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
SDL
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CLH
1 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
CDF
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
AGO
25%
24%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAX
0 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
HAR
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |