Villarreal vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
DEP
3 - 0
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
65%
22%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
MLL
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
VCF
3 - 3
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RMA
1 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 2
RMA
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
4 - 1
NUM
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 0
NUM
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 0
GET
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
REC
3 - 1
NUM
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |