Villarreal vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
EXT
1 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALA
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
LOG
2 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
LEG
2 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALM
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 3
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
SSC
5 - 3
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
3 - 1
AMA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 1
LLE
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
ECI
1 - 3
ATH
34%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |