Villarreal B vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HUE
0 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
RSO
23%
27%
51%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
MUR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UDL
0 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
NUM
3 - 0
BET
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 0
RUN
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RAY
4 - 1
NUM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAR
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |