Villarcayo Nela vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 3
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
INT
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CFB
1 - 1
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 1
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
NUM
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 3
UXA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LER
1 - 1
NUM
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UPP
1 - 0
NUM
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |