Villafranca vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 3
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
25%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDT
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDD
36%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDF
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
ADL
41%
22%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPH
0 - 2
UDF
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
UCL
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |