Villafranca vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
75.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
COM
5%
15%
80%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LEG
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 3
OLG
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
SON
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 4
MAN
11%
20%
68%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
6 - 0
DAR
81%
14%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
REZ
1 - 0
MAN
27%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 1
MAN
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |