CD Villacañas vs CD Manchego Ciudad Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
6º
62
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDT
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UBC
0 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
LSO
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
TDR
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
0 - 0
CDC
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 0
QRE
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
CDC
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
ILL
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |