Villablanca C.D. vs Manzanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
52.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villablanca C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ROS
4 - 1
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 1
VIL
69%
16%
15%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEA
60%
19%
21%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALO
3 - 1
VIL
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 3
LAP
36%
21%
42%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manzanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
SBA
70%
17%
14%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
TRI
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROC
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
REC
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |