Villa vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CIT
4 - 3
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
35%
23%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COB
1 - 2
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
CRI
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
VIL
10%
17%
74%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 3
SAL
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MUG
2 - 1
CRE
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
CIN
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
SPE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
3 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |