Villa San Carlos vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
VSC
71%
19%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IND
23%
30%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
VSC
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 1
SMA
23%
28%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
VSC
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INS
1 - 2
BAN
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 3
INS
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
IRV
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 2
INS
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
ALD
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |