Villa San Carlos vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 1
VSC
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VSC
2 - 1
LAM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
VSC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 0
MOR
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
5 - 0
VSC
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAR
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
PLA
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |