Villa Nova vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
37.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 0
PIN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
VIL
3 - 1
DES
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
COR
0 - 0
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
UBE
0 - 0
PPE
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
BAN
0 - 0
PPE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 1
JEC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
PPE
2 - 0
DES
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |