Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
DEM
3 - 2
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
AVA
3 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
DEM
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
DEM
0 - 0
MAD
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
DEM
3 - 2
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
DEM
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 1
DEM
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |