Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
29%
30%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
JUU
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
VIL
26%
30%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPE
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HHE
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
SDM
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FER
3 - 0
SPE
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |