Vilhenense vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
IND
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
FAS
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
4 - 0
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |