Vilches vs C.D. Útica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
4 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
LCA
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PUE
2 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 3
JOD
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2003 |
BAI
5 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CDU
4 - 2
MEN
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 1
CDU
82%
13%
6%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CDU
0 - 4
ATL
33%
25%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CLU
2 - 0
CDU
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2003 |
CDU
0 - 2
FSV
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |