Vilanova D'Alcolea vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATZ
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VIN
2 - 1
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 3
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 5
VIN
10%
15%
75%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 2
ESP
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
CIN
35%
24%
41%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 2
CLU
67%
17%
16%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 5
TRR
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |