Vilafranquense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 4
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAF
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ELE
0 - 1
VIL
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAT
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOU
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
6 - 2
LUS
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAF
4 - 3
TOR
60%
23%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |