Vilafranquense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
VAR
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEX
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
COV
0 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
FAR
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LEX
0 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |