Vila Nova vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 1
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 2
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
VIT
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |